NFL Nfl Power Rankings

Someone has probably said before that you can't tell anything about the NFL playoff picture until the baseball season comes to a close. If they haven't, I just did and humbly submit that it should be the new credo of football watchers everywhere. The World Series will end before Week 9 kicks off, and it is a week suitably stuffed with games that will actually allow us to do more than guess about the fortunes of the NFL's 32 teams.

Blood will be spilled, hopes will be dashed and these power rankings will look radically different when this week's slate of games are completed. It's finally time to start seperating the men from the boys.

Look past the undefeated teams at the top of the Week 8 NFL Power Rankings, and you'll see a pair of familiar faces staring back at you in the fourth and fifth spots. Mike Tomlin and Bill Belichick have navigated some choppy early season waters and righted two of the AFC's stalwart ships in time to ensure that there won't be any dramatic changing of the guard in that conference this season. In both cases, it's been about getting back to basics.

The Steelers defense quieted its critics with a shutdown performance against the Vikings on Sunday, while the Patriots offense has looked like the 2007 version while ringing up blowout victories on both sides of the Atlantic. They're still looking up at the Colts and Broncos, of course, but if those are the top four when we get to January it should be a pretty spectacular fight for the AFC Championship.

The Saints are a clear choice for the top spot after the beating they put on the Giants Sunday, but things are a bit murkier thereafter. How good are the Vikings if their defense can't put teams away? Was that the worst of the Giants, or just the tip of the iceberg for a team that didn't play anyone all that good for the first five weeks? How did everyone in the country not named Josh McDaniels miss so badly on a Broncos team that looks better and better every week?

The clarity isn't helped much by an increasingly muddy midsection in each league. You've got teams like the Jets and Eagles making a mockery of their supporters and teams like the Jaguars and Cardinals offering reminders that a bad week or two early doesn't mean that all is lost. We're coming up fast on midseason and, as it should be, there are more questions than answers in the NFL.

If the NFL were college football, this weekend's matchup between the Giants and Saints would be a de facto National Championship game hyped to the heavens and back. Unlike the NCAA, though, the NFL decides its championship via football and not ballots which means that it is merely a great Week 6 contest that will help settle the top rung in mythical power rankings and, perhaps, serve as a whistle wetter for a NFC Championship Game.

It's still good stuff, but the most notable thing about the current state of power in the NFL these days is how few teams have any of it. There are an awful lot of no-hopers before the second month of the season has been completed which doesn't do much for the long-standing idea of parity being the end all, be all of the NFL.

Last Sunday's two biggest showdowns caused some movement at the top of our Week 5 NFL Power Rankings. The Jets and Ravens had to slide after losing to the Saints and Patriots, respectively, creating a little shift in the top 10.

There's been minimal movement at the bottom of the rankings, however. We're through just four weeks of the regular season, but it's already pretty clear that there are some downright awful teams in the league this season. Everyone made a huge deal of Detroit's record-breaking 0-16 campaign in 2008 -- but at the season's quarter-pole, no fewer than four teams look fully capable of taking a run at that dubious mark.

Then again, you never know ... I mean, who had Cincinnati-Baltimore and New England-Denver (Bill Belichick coaching tree storyline aside) circled as the biggest games of Week 5? Not this guy, I can tell you that.

There's a feeling of deja vu at the top of the rankings this week as each of the top four teams won and, therefore, held their positions. The biggest changes come at the rear where the Lions are finally looking down at something other than the bottom of the page. And it's not going too far out on a limb to say that their replacements will be a regular resident at the caboose of the rankings. The Browns are in disarray, more so than usual even, and show few signs of hope.

For those of you who are bored with the same old, same old up top, this week promises at least one change with the Saints and Jets facing off in a battle of undefeateds. The Ravens are in New England and the Broncos host the Cowboys, which might mean major changes in the top ten when next week's rankings come down the pike.

If ranking the 32 teams of the NFL is tough after only one week of games, doing it after two is tougher than Robert Gallery playing on a broken leg. Teams improve to 2-0 but drop in the rankings because their two wins came against the 31st- and 32nd-ranked teams. Elsewhere, teams find themselves ranked behind teams they've beaten, because a team that beat them in Week 1 looked terrible in Week 2. You don't like having that happen, but until there's more evidence to the contrary, the Steelers are above the Bears.

One thing that was clear, though, is that this was New York's week. The Giants pulled out a big win in Dallas to grab the top spot in the rankings, while the Jets jumped 10 spots on the back of their dominant defensive performance against the Patriots. The biggest fall belongs to the Eagles, because regardless of quarterback issues, you can't be that dismal on defense and remain in the top 10.

I like to think of myself as a relatively sharp football mind. But I can't, in good conscience, sit here after Week 1 of the NFL season and predict without a shadow of a doubt who's going to win divisions, conference and the Super Bowl. I don't have that foresight. No one does. I've seen the History Channel documentaries on Nostradamus -- he's full of crap.

So what you'll find in FanHouse's first set of weekly NFL Power Rankings is a loose estimation of who the best teams in the league are based on roster talent, recent performance, and of course, record. This isn't the college football Top 25 where Oklahoma State stays ahead of Houston even after Houston wins in Stillwater -- you've got to earn your way to the top here by winning games (Denver gets a slight bump-down exception for its method of victory)

Rankings after the jump.

Amid all these NFL predictions flooding the web this week there are few certainties. But if recent history is any indication, we know for sure that at least one of this year's division winners will be a team that finished in last place a year ago. At least one team has turned the trick every year since the NFL went to the current eight-division format -- 10 teams total in six seasons. The Dolphins did it last year, the Buccaneers the year before, and the Eagles and Saints the year before that.

The reasons for this phenomenon are obvious -- overall parity, four-team divisions, a scheduling system that (basically) makes life easier for the teams at the bottom and tougher for the teams at the top. The only question as the 2009 season dawns is which of last year's last-place finishers will be among this year's division winners. We ranked all eight of them in order of their chances to continue the trend:

A week from now, 20 NFL teams' seasons will be over, and 12 NFL teams will be getting ready to decide for themselves which one is the best. But for now, we've got one more week of sorting it in our NFL Power Rankings.