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Rashard Mendenhall Deserves Steelers' Starting Job

10/13/2009 7:37 AM ET By JJ Cooper

    • JJ Cooper
    • JJ Cooper is an NFL Blogger for FanHouse
Rashard MendenhallWillie Parker's balky turf toe may be healthy enough to get back on the field this Sunday. Normally getting a starting tailback back is a good thing, but in Mike Tomlin's case this may be an added complication.

There's an old NFL adage that you can't lose your job because of an injury, but there's an a big if to that promise for many coaches--you can't lose your job unless the team discovers that your backup is better than you. We'll find out soon whether Tomlin believes that the promise is an absolute one.

Right now the Steelers are discovering that in 2009 Rashard Mendenhall is a better back than Parker.

Mendenhall has shown in the past two weeks that he is the Steelers' best back, and it doesn't take much expertise to figure that out. He runs with more power than Parker, he shows more decisiveness in getting to the hole and he even has shown a better ability to get outside for big gains. Eight of Mendenhall's 51 carries have gone for 10 yards or more while six of Parker's 52 carries have gone for 10+. If Parker can't provide more big plays then Mendenhall then it's hard to make an argument for starting Parker.

Breaking It Down
A look at how Willie Parker's carries compare to Rashard Mendenhall's, percentage-wise, in terms of yards gained:
Player Negative Yards
0 Yards
1-3 Yards
4+ Yards
Parker
17.3%
13.5%
36.5%
32.7%
Mendenhall
9.8%
13.7%
27.5%
49%
It's easy to focus too much on the big plays. Because of his eight 10+yard runs (including four runs of 20 yards or more), Mendenhall's overall rushing stats are much better than Parker's this year. But the success of an offense is often built on getting solid gains on first and second down that can put the passing game in good situations.

The biggest difference may be Mendenhall's ability to avoid second and long. On first and 10, Parker has 27 carries for 64 yards (2.4 yards per carry). In the same situation, Mendenhall has 30 carries for 185 yards (6.2 yards per carry). Mendenhall's stats are bumped up by a 39-yard run, but even without that he still averages 5 yards per carry on first down. Mendenhall's ability to get the Steelers into second and four or five compared to second and eight opens up many more options on second down.

That's not only true on first down. Overall, 31 percent of Parker's carries have gone for zero or negative yardage compared to 23.5 percent for Mendenhall. Parker has the big play ability, but Mendenhall's ability to lower his head and bull forward means that he's more likely to get positive yardage out of a play when the blocking breaks down.

The Steelers will be able to use both Parker and Mendenhall over the final 11 games of the season, but it is clear that there is a changing of the guard going on.

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