NFL

The Super Bowl Prop Bet 13 Step Program: Day Three, Coin Flips

Super Bowl Prop Bets are as American as your mother and as addicting as, um, stuff. Will Brinson's got a program for your all-American fix.

Now that we've finally waded through the muck (read: the two freaking days when books aren't putting up the prop bets because they're scared of us taking their money), we can get down to business.

And the first business of every Super Bowl betting guide -- the spread and over/under aside -- is the coin flip. Always, always, always take heads. There's nothing really more to say. Just take heads. Probability tells us that there's at least a 50/50 chance of this winning. And those are pretty good odds, my friends.Now, onto some other interesting "50/50" bets. First off, I freaking love the bet this Sportsbook is offering: "Will both teams make a 33-yard or longer field goal?" And, I, astutely, say, hells to the yes. We're talking about, again, two defenses that are better than people think. Add in Jeff Reed -- bleached blond hair or not -- and Neil Rackers, and it seems pretty obvious that we should get at least one chip shot-plus from each team. And the real bonus? Yes it's +145. It's called free money, folks, and that's why they pay me to write at you.

And finally, a totally random one: jersey number. Yes, jersey number, as in: first touchdown scored. It's an over/under and it's set at 38.5. Which means that anyone in the secondary or anyone in the wide receiver corps is going to win for you, if you take the over. Considering the Steelers stuff the run, and that Willie Parker isn't exactly fresh, I'll take my chances. Oh, also, Larry Fitzgerald. (And yes, I'm aware that Santonio Holmes could destroy this easily.)

There you have it though: three quick coin flips that are going to make you money. We'll be here all week, kids.

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