Does anyone actually want to go to the playoffs in the AFC? It sure doesn't seem like it - consider that after nine weeks of action, the Titans sit at 8-0, the Steelers at 6-2 and then six teams are staying afloat at 5-3 or 4-4.
Let's assume the Titans don't suffer an epic collapse and the Steelers hang on in the AFC North.
That leaves four AFC playoff spots completely up for grabs. And suddenly the prospect of Miami claiming one of those postseason berths does not look so ludicrous.
Consider that the Dolphins two-game winning streak is the third-longest run going in the AFC (seriously), and that Miami has arguably the easiest ride home - schedule-wise - of any team in the conference.
Miami sits 4-4 right now, which has them in last - and also a game out of first - in the AFC East, with this slate awaiting: Seattle, Oakland, New England, at St. Louis, at Buffalo, San Francisco, at Kansas City, at New York Jets.
Chad Pennington's playing fine at QB; at the very least, Chad Pennington is not losing games at QB. The running back duo of Ronnie Brown-Ricky Williams has become potent and, as Denver's Jay Cutler found out, the 'Fins defense is no longer a pushover.
Miami is very much in this. Now, onto this week's playoff breakdown:
- Tennessee (8-0)
- Pittsburgh (6-2)
Bubble Bobblin'
- Baltimore (5-3)
- Buffalo (5-3)
- New England (5-3)
- New York Jets (5-3)
- Denver (4-4)
- Indianapolis (4-4)
- Miami (4-4)
On the Brink
- Cleveland (3-5)
- Houston (3-5)
- Jacksonville (3-5)
- San Diego (3-5)
When's the Draft?
- Oakland (2-6)
- Kansas City (1-7)
- Cincinnati (1-8)
- New York Giants (7-1)
- Carolina (6-2)
- Arizona (5-3)
Bubble Bobblin'
- Tampa Bay (6-3)
- Washington (6-3)
- Atlanta (5-3)
- Chicago (5-3)
- Philadelphia (5-3)
- Green Bay (4-4)
- Minnesota (4-4)
On the Brink
- Dallas (5-4)
- New Orleans (4-4)
When's the Draft?
- San Francisco (2-6)
- Seattle (2-6)
- St. Louis (2-6)
- Detroit (0-8)
Explaining: Dallas and New Orleans
Those teams find their way onto the brink for two reasons: 1. They have not shown any signs of running off big win streaks to jump several teams, and 2. They are both in last in their division. So while their records may look right in the thick of things, it is mathematically impossible to make the playoffs from last in the division - so the 'Boys and Saints need to get working.
Show us what you're made of: Baltimore Ravens.
Is this the case of a team that's overachieving on its way to the playoffs? Or is Baltimore simply benefiting from a favorable schedule thus far? Wins over Cincinnati, Cleveland (twice), Oakland and at Miami. Only the wins at Miami and Cleveland instill any additional confidence - tempered by the fact that the Ravens have lost to Pittsburgh, Tennessee and Indianapolis.
Still ahead are games at Houston, the Giants and Dallas, plus home contests against Pittsburgh, Washington and Philadelphia.
This week's trip to Houston is a must-have for the Ravens. Win and they're 6-3 and keep the inside track to a playoff spot - possibly a division title. Lose and they're back in the pack at 5-4 with a filthy schedule looming.
One foot in the ground: Jacksonville Jaguars.
Look, you just can't lose back-to-back to Cleveland and Cincinnati and be in serious playoff contention. And if you lose back-to-back-to-back to Cleveland, Cincinnati and Detroit - like Jacksonville could - then you may as well just turn in your jerseys for the season.
Time to wake up: Denver Broncos.
If it weren't for the near-complete ineptitude of the AFC West this season, Denver would find itself in much more trouble. Instead, coming off of three straight losses - including two at home - the 4-4 Broncos still hold a one-game lead on San Diego.
That lead will be gone by Sunday if Denver doesn't regroup before Thursday night's trip to Cleveland. The Browns have the weapons to pick apart Denver's struggling secondary, and playing a road game on three days' rest is never easy. San Diego then hosts Kansas City on Sunday, meaning both teams could be 4-5 (and tied for first!) by the end of the weekend.
And Finally ... Five Games on the Playoff Radar:
1. Buffalo (5-3) at New England (5-3): The winner takes the inside track - along with the Jets - on the AFC East crown. The loser is left scrambling.
2. New Orleans (4-4) at Atlanta (5-3): The upstart Falcons open a huge three-game homestand. If the Saints lose, they're at least two losses back of every other team in the NFC South.
3. Green Bay (4-4) at Minnesota (4-4): Chicago's quarterback status is up in the air with Rex Grossman in for Kyle Orton - meaning the winner here might become the NFC North favorite, especially if the Pack completes the series sweep.
4. Indianapolis (4-4) at Pittsburgh (6-2): The Colts, despite a Week 9 win, are still teetering on the brink. Meanwhile, the Steelers launch a potential statement-making stretch of four home games in five weeks.
5. Giants (7-1) at Philadelphia (5-3): New York can take a stranglehold on the NFC East, but the Eagles need this one far more.
Latest NFL Photos
A fan holds up a sign during the NFL football game between the Washington Redskins and the Pittsburgh Steelers in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Mitch Dumke (UNITED STATES)
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Pittsburgh Steelers William Gay (22) recovers a blocked punt kicked by Washington Redskins punter Ryan Plackemeier and blocked by Steelers Andre Frazier during the second quarter of their NFL football game in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Mitch Dumke (UNITED STATES)
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Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger leaves the field after defeating the Washington Redskins in their NFL football game in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Mitch Dumke (UNITED STATES)
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Washington Redskins quarterback Jason Campbell is sacked by Pittsburgh Steelers Aaron Smith (91) during the second half of their NFL football game in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Molly Riley (UNITED STATES)
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Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker James Farrior, right, safety Tyrone Carter, center, and linebacker LaMarr Woodley (56) celebrate during the fourth quarter of their NFL football game on Monday, Nov. 3, 2008 in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
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Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, left, stands with coach Mike Tomlin during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game against the Washington Redskins on Monday, Nov. 3, 2008, in Landover, Md. The Steelers won 23-6. Roethlisberger reinjured his throwing shoulder earlier in the game. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
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Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Byron Leftwich (4) hands-off to running back Willie Parker (39) during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game, Monday, Nov. 3, 2008, in Landover, Md. The Steelers won 23-6. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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Pittsburgh Steelers Santonio Holmes dives into the endzone for a touchdown during the second half of their NFL football game against the Washington Redskins in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Andrew Cameron (UNITED STATES)
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Washington Redskins safety Chris Horton, left, tackles Pittsburgh Steelers running back Mewelde Moore during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game Monday, Nov. 3, 2008, in Landover, Md. Pittsburgh won 23-6. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
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Washington Redskins quarterback Jason Campbell sits on the field after being tackled during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Monday, Nov. 3, 2008, in Landover, Md. The Steelers won 23-6. (AP Photo/Haraz N. Ghanbari)
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
11-06-2008 @ 3:57PM
Chris Troutman said...
LOVE that playoff breakdown. Keep up the good work.
Reply
11-06-2008 @ 4:06PM
Jerry Desaulniers said...
Kudos to the Big Tuna and Company!
Reply
11-06-2008 @ 6:44PM
Sports Fan said...
I think the Dolphins are positively giddy with winning some games. They have nothing to lose. Playing loose and having fun wins games. Try not to think too much.
Reply
11-06-2008 @ 9:49PM
dave said...
right with you there chris
Reply
11-07-2008 @ 7:58AM
Gary said...
Surely I am not the only one wondering what is going on with Chad's throws. Granted, he is making connections with his receivers but why can't he throw a hard line drive pass? Another thing, they have got to stop using the wildcat. We are loosing yardage each week.
Reply