One of the great/stupid things about sports is how numbers can be worked and re-worked into something that are supposed to have meaning. The fact that the fate of the Presidency and the election of the next leader of the free world hinges on an NFL game goes right up to the top of those silly numbers.Since the Redskins have arrived in Washington, how they perform in their final home game determines the presidential election. It's true.
It's called the Redskins Rule, and it has an accuracy rate of either 94 or 100 percent depending on how it's applied. Every time the Redskins win their final home game before a presidential election, the candidate representing the incumbent party remains in office. Every time they lose, the incumbent party's candidate loses as well. It's a predictor that has worked in 16 of 17 presidential elections since the Redskins arrived in Washington. (Some argue the rule is 17-for-17; more on that in a second.)That's good news for Barack Obama and the Democrats. The Redskins lost to the Steelers, 23-6, which means the incumbent Republicans are looking at a bad day. Why even hold the election? Just crown Obama the President at FedEx Field.
In 2004, the Redskins lost to the Packers 28-14, suggesting Bush should have lost to John Kerry. Hirdt changed the way the rule is applied to have it refer to the previous winner of the popular vote, not the electoral vote.
Latest NFL Photos
A fan holds up a sign during the NFL football game between the Washington Redskins and the Pittsburgh Steelers in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Mitch Dumke (UNITED STATES)
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Pittsburgh Steelers William Gay (22) recovers a blocked punt kicked by Washington Redskins punter Ryan Plackemeier and blocked by Steelers Andre Frazier during the second quarter of their NFL football game in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Mitch Dumke (UNITED STATES)
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Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger leaves the field after defeating the Washington Redskins in their NFL football game in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Mitch Dumke (UNITED STATES)
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Washington Redskins quarterback Jason Campbell is sacked by Pittsburgh Steelers Aaron Smith (91) during the second half of their NFL football game in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Molly Riley (UNITED STATES)
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Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker James Farrior, right, safety Tyrone Carter, center, and linebacker LaMarr Woodley (56) celebrate during the fourth quarter of their NFL football game on Monday, Nov. 3, 2008 in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
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Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, left, stands with coach Mike Tomlin during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game against the Washington Redskins on Monday, Nov. 3, 2008, in Landover, Md. The Steelers won 23-6. Roethlisberger reinjured his throwing shoulder earlier in the game. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
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Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Byron Leftwich (4) hands-off to running back Willie Parker (39) during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game, Monday, Nov. 3, 2008, in Landover, Md. The Steelers won 23-6. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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Pittsburgh Steelers Santonio Holmes dives into the endzone for a touchdown during the second half of their NFL football game against the Washington Redskins in Landover, Maryland, November 3, 2008. REUTERS/Andrew Cameron (UNITED STATES)
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Washington Redskins safety Chris Horton, left, tackles Pittsburgh Steelers running back Mewelde Moore during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game Monday, Nov. 3, 2008, in Landover, Md. Pittsburgh won 23-6. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
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Washington Redskins quarterback Jason Campbell sits on the field after being tackled during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Monday, Nov. 3, 2008, in Landover, Md. The Steelers won 23-6. (AP Photo/Haraz N. Ghanbari)
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This is all a bunch of hooey, right? The broadcast team at ESPN mentioned this phenomena at the beginning of the telecast last night and SportsCenter mentioned it all day long. Some diehards actually think this Redskins Rule is what pushed Harry Truman past Thomas Dewey in 1948.
This isn't just the Yankees only win titles when a Democrat in office stuff; it isn't as if the Yankees have anything to do with what happens in an election, rather simply feeling the affects of who is in office. The Celtics have won their last seven titles with a Republican in office, but there were many years a Republican was President and the C's didn't win.
The Redskins have to play a last home game sometime before every Presidential election. This transcends political affiliation and was only noticed several years ago as a statistical anomaly.
With Obama as the favorite to win the White House, it looks as if this will make the 18th time out of 18 tries that the "Redskins Rule" works.
Also on FanHouse:
ESPN, Barack Obama and John McCain ... Talkin' Bout Politics in This Craa-azy Tooown



















Reader Comments (Page 1 of 14)
11-03-2008 @ 1:41PM
budo said...
PLEASE, Redskins win!!!!!!!!
Reply
11-04-2008 @ 7:47AM
Erics Muscle Cars said...
They didnt just lose ...they got whooped.
www.ericsmusclecars.com
Reply
11-04-2008 @ 10:31AM
Bill said...
Let's hope Barack whoops some old McCain and goofy Palin butt too!
11-04-2008 @ 11:17AM
Bill said...
It amuses me to see the number of people who are jealous of people who work and earn more money than they do. Why don't you all ask a poor person for a job.
When a person who works hard and earns money goes and purchases a nice car, it puts honest people to work in places like steel mills, factories, glass production, plastics, tire factories, fabric mills, assembly lines, etc, etc, etc.
So, why do you all think other people should just hand the money to you insted of giving you work ??? Do you really think that is fair ? Greed don't just come from the top down, it also comes from the bottom up. Vote McCain/Palin for 2008 !!!
11-04-2008 @ 11:28AM
Kimberly said...
Big whoop...I have been registered to vote since 1991 - I have voted in every election for which I have been eligible, from the Presidency down to the local Mayor's office, and I do cross party lines. Every person for whom I have ever voted has won office, with the exception of my city's last mayoral race - the guy lost by 71 votes (out of over 20,000 cast).
How's THAT for a "statistical anomolly"?
11-04-2008 @ 7:52AM
ted said...
Oh bother who writes this s....... Think they woulg give a bigger picture the redskins our should I say deadskins just plain suck.with money being the way it is soon nobody is going to the games anyway mybe sit on a tailgate and listen...
Reply
11-04-2008 @ 8:05AM
giantsfan123 said...
its only there 3rd loss there still a great team had a bad game last night thats it
11-04-2008 @ 10:09AM
bigAl said...
How money is? Maybe if you learned how to speak and write your own language you wouldn't be worried by 'how money is'. If I were you, I wouldn't complain about the economy. It seems to be staying in line with the average American IQ these days.
11-04-2008 @ 4:24PM
CJ said...
Learn to spell, idiot......
11-04-2008 @ 7:54AM
Bob said...
BULL
Reply
11-04-2008 @ 7:59AM
DIVAlicious! said...
I LOVE THE STEELERS!!!! GREAT GAME!!! LEFTWICH, I THINK HE DID BETTER THAN ROETH.!!!
GREAT GREAT GAME!!! :))
Reply
11-04-2008 @ 8:02AM
Spanky said...
steelers look good again, should of beaten the Giants, Steelers out played them!! the best team in the AFC, or at least the 2 or 3 in the NFL. very strong and talented group, should do some damage in the playoffs.
Reply
11-04-2008 @ 8:06AM
Roger said...
If this has any truth behind it, I would gladly wanted to see my beloved Steelers lose.
Reply
11-04-2008 @ 8:46AM
Travis said...
I'm a Redskins fan and a Republican...how do you think I feel?
11-04-2008 @ 8:58AM
kat said...
You mean you would want gullible Sarah Palin, who doesn't even know how to answer interview questions, nor the names of different world leaders, to be a "hearbeat away" from presidency?! Pu-u-lease! For anyone who has not heard the entire radio call/prank, it's on 'youtube'--just type in 'sarah palin-prank' and you can hear the whole 6+ min. call, unless it's been pulled already. The guys dropped plenty of hints it was a prank. McCain really 'screwed-up' when he chose her as running-mate and I have a feeling he knows he did. I feel he may have had a better chance, had he chosen a GOOD running-mate, like Mitt Romney ie.
11-04-2008 @ 9:01AM
JimLiebig said...
So the republicans can have 4 more years to steal from the middle class ? 8 years was 8 too long
11-04-2008 @ 9:02AM
kissmyasssssss said...
i am sure you realize mcsnooze will lose regardless-- hope you enjoyed the win ;)
11-04-2008 @ 9:05AM
jimmy said...
etter think and remember that HITLER promised the people of Germany change... they got it. Castro promised the people of Cuba change they got it. The change Obama promises may not be what you want... BIG BROTHER is watching.
11-04-2008 @ 9:14AM
ava said...
AIN'T IT SO!
11-04-2008 @ 9:16AM
Alice said...
I agree with you !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!