NFL

Lane Kiffin Wants to Run the Ball... A Lot


You can say this about Oakland Raiders Head Coach Lane Kiffin: he knows what the strength of his offense is. According to Raiders beat writer Jerry McDonald at the Contra Costa Times, Kiffin is having dreams of a monster, clock-killing, punishing rushing attack led by Justin Fargas, Darren McFadden and Michael Bush that will pound the ball at defenses nearly 600 times during the 2008 season.

My amateur math skills tell me that 600 rushing attempts over a 16-game season comes out to, roughly, 37 carries per game. That's a lot of running. As a team, they ran the ball 508 times in '07, including seven games where they had at least 30 attempts.

Without getting into the question of, what does it say about your offense when the strength consists of two guys to never carry the ball in an NFL game, this seems like a dream in every sense of the word. I'm not saying the Raiders aren't going to pound the ball and be a run-first team, but 600 carries, or close to it, is nearly impossible to do.

In 2007, the Tennessee Titans led the NFL in rushing attempts with 543 carries, the only team to run the ball more than 530 times. Since the start of the 1990 season (a completely arbitrary time-span of 18 years) only one team in the NFL has run the ball 600 times in a single season: the 2004 Pittsburgh Steelers, who ran the ball 618 times with Duce Staley, Jerome Bettis, Verron Haynes and Willie Parker. Only seven others have managed to eclipse the 550 mark during the same period - The '03 Ravens, '01 Steelers, '97 Steelers, '96 Bills, '94 Cowboys, '93 Giants and the '90 Bears.

It's worth pointing out that all of those teams finished their respective seasons with double-digit win totals and advanced to the playoffs, which brings up the chicken or the egg question of: Were those teams winning because they were running so much? Or were they running because they were winning?

There's no question a run-first mentality is the best game plan for Oakland right now, but they just aren't a good enough team to get anywhere near 600 rushing attempts. Eventually in games they're going to have to start playing catch-up, which will then turn the focus of the offense over to Jamarcus Russell's arm, and away from the legs of McFadden, Fargas and Bush.

If, however, the Raiders do give Kiffin his dream scenario, that will probably mean nothing but good things for the team and its fans. Or it could mean he's completely lost his mind and is still running when his team is trailing 28-0 in the fourth quarter.

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