Would Jon Gruden Trade Up to Get Calvin Johnson? -- NFL FanHouse
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Would Jon Gruden Trade Up to Get Calvin Johnson?

4/06/2007 10:50 AM ET By David J. Warner

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    • David J. Warner
There has been much speculation that Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Jon Gruden is hopelessly enamored with Calvin Johnson -- so much so that he might trade up to ensure he gets Johnson.

When you're dealing with picks that early in the draft, though, trading up can be very difficult. According to the NFL Draft Point Value Chart, this is the value for each of the first four picks in the draft:

#1 = 3000 points
#2 = 2600 points
#3 = 2200 points
#4 = 1800 points

The Bucs pick fourth, and while popular opinion still has the Raiders taking a quarterback first, the only way for Gruden and GM Bruce Allen to be absolutely sure they get Johnson is to trade up to #1. What would that require?

Well, in addition to the 4th pick, the Bucs also have three other first-day picks, #35 (550 points), #64 (270 points) and #68 (250 points). All those first day picks add up to only 2,870 points. Throwing in the Bucs' fourth-round and fifth-round picks would bring the point total up to 2,997 points.

Seriously, is Calvin Johnson really worth six draft picks to a team that finished 4-12 last season and has a lot of key players on the wrong side of 30? Didn't a similar strategy backfire spectacularly on Mike Ditka in New Orleans? And given their history, why in the world would Gruden give Al Davis that many draft picks?

On the other hand, if the Bucs wanted to deal with Detroit, which has needs at just about every position, they could deal #4 (1800 points), #35 (550 points) and #68 (250 points) to the Lions for the #2 pick, which would be dead even in terms of point value. That seems a little more reasonable for the Bucs, as it leaves them with at least one other first-day pick and still gives them the chance to fill their depth chart and special teams with young players.

Of course, this assumes that Al Davis doesn't put his grudge with Gruden ahead of his team needs and take Johnson with the #1 pick. Davis is a crazy old coot, but he's not that crazy. Is he?

Previously at the FanHouse:
Buccaneers Can't Get Calvin Johnson With the Fourth Pick
Are Gruden and Allen Mortgaging the Bucs' Future to Save Their Jobs?

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